Unweaving the Rainbow: Science, Delusion and the Appetite for Wonder

16 September 2019 | By Richard Dawkins | Filed in: innumeracy.

Did Newton unweave the rainbow by reducing it to its prismatic colors, as Keats contended Did he, in other words, diminish beauty Far from it, says acclaimed scientist Richard Dawkins Newton s unweaving is the key to much of modern astronomy and to the breathtaking poetry of modern cosmology M

The Seven Pillars of Statistical Wisdom

16 September 2019 | By Stephen M. Stigler | Filed in: innumeracy.

What gives statistics its unity as a science Stephen Stigler sets forth the seven foundational ideas of statistics a scientific discipline related to but distinct from mathematics and computer science Even the most basic idea aggregation, exemplified by averaging is counterintuitive It allows one

Know Your Chances: Understanding Health Statistics

16 September 2019 | By Steven Woloshin | Filed in: innumeracy.

Every day we are bombarded by television ads, public service announcements, and media reports warning of dire risks to our health and offering solutions to help us lower those risks But many of these messages are incomplete, misleading, or exaggerated, leaving the average person misinformed and con

Naked Statistics: Stripping the Dread from the Data

16 September 2019 | By Charles Wheelan | Filed in: innumeracy.

Once considered tedious, the field of statistics is rapidly evolving into a discipline Hal Varian, chief economist at Google, has actually called sexy From batting averages and political polls to game shows and medical research, the real world application of statistics continues to grow by leaps

Chances Are . . .: Adventures in Probability

16 September 2019 | By Michael Kaplan | Filed in: innumeracy.

A layman s journey into the realm of probability from poker to politics, weather to war, Monte Carlo to mortality We search for certainty, but find only likelihood All things are possible, only one thing actually happens everything else is in the realm of probability The twin disciplines of proba

A Field Guide to Lies: Critical Thinking in the Information Age

16 September 2019 | By Daniel J. Levitin | Filed in: innumeracy.

From The New York Times bestselling author of THE ORGANIZED MIND and THIS IS YOUR BRAIN ON MUSIC, a primer to the critical thinking that is necessary now than ever We are bombarded with information each day than our brains can process especially in election season It s raining bad data,

Misused Statistics (Popular Statistics) (Popular Statistics)

16 September 2019 | By Herbert Spirer | Filed in: innumeracy.

Revised and updated edition of a standard in the field Alerts readers to the problems, inherent in statistical practice illustrating the types of misused statistics with well documented, real world examples, nearly half new to this edition, drawn from a wide range of areas, including the media, pu

Stat-Spotting: A Field Guide to Identifying Dubious Data

16 September 2019 | By Joel Best | Filed in: innumeracy.

Are four million women really battered to death by their husbands or boyfriends each year Does a young person commit suicide every thirteen minutes in the United States Is methamphetamine our number one drug problem today Alarming statistics bombard our daily lives, appearing in the news, on the

Flaws and Fallacies in Statistical Thinking

16 September 2019 | By Stephen K. Campbell | Filed in: innumeracy.

This book was written with a dual purpose first, the author was motivated to relieve his distress over the faulty conclusions drawn from the frequent misuse of relatively simple statistical tools such as percents, graphs, and averages Second, his objective was to create a nontechnical book that wo

Calculated Risks: How to Know When Numbers Deceive You

16 September 2019 | By Gerd Gigerenzer | Filed in: innumeracy.

At the beginning of the twentieth century, H G Wells predicted that statistical thinking would be as necessary for citizenship in a technological world as the ability to read and write But in the twenty first century, we are often overwhelmed by a baffling array of percentages and probabilities a